SharpDelta

The prediction-market fair-value screener · Kalshi & Polymarket vs. the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks · 26 games · updated Jul 18, 2:16 PM ET

Positive Sharp Delta right now

TeamVsSportStart (ET)VenueAskFairSharp ΔBooks
Atlanta BravesTexas RangersMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi38¢51¢+13.1145
Toronto Blue JaysChicago White SoxMLB07/18 3:07 PMKalshi38¢50¢+12.0143
Baltimore OriolesHouston AstrosMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi38¢50¢+12.0144
Pittsburgh PiratesCleveland GuardiansMLB07/18 7:10 PMKalshi38¢50¢+11.9121
New York YankeesLos Angeles DodgersMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi39¢51¢+11.7141
Los Angeles DodgersNew York YankeesMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi38¢49¢+11.3141
Washington NationalsAthleticsMLB07/18 10:05 PMKalshi40¢51¢+11.0143
Houston AstrosBaltimore OriolesMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi39¢50¢+11.0144
Boston Red SoxTampa Bay RaysMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi40¢51¢+10.5143
Tampa Bay RaysBoston Red SoxMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi39¢49¢+10.5143
Cleveland GuardiansPittsburgh PiratesMLB07/18 7:10 PMKalshi40¢50¢+10.1121
Chicago White SoxToronto Blue JaysMLB07/18 3:07 PMKalshi40¢50¢+10.0143
Texas RangersAtlanta BravesMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi39¢49¢+9.9145
Los Angeles AngelsDetroit TigersMLB07/18 10:07 PMKalshi27¢36¢+9.3142
Colorado RockiesCincinnati RedsMLB07/18 3:10 PMKalshi40¢49¢+8.6143
San Francisco GiantsSeattle MarinersMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi34¢42¢+8.3142
St. Louis CardinalsArizona DiamondbacksMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi40¢48¢+8.0142
AthleticsWashington NationalsMLB07/18 10:05 PMKalshi41¢49¢+8.0143
New York MetsPhiladelphia PhilliesMLB07/18 3:05 PMKalshi32¢40¢+7.7143
Miami MarlinsMilwaukee BrewersMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi36¢44¢+7.6143
San Diego PadresKansas City RoyalsMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi43¢50¢+7.4143
Cincinnati RedsColorado RockiesMLB07/18 3:10 PMKalshi44¢51¢+7.4143
Minnesota TwinsChicago CubsMLB07/18 2:20 PMKalshi37¢42¢+4.6143

MLB board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins07/18 2:20 PM14358¢42¢ / 37¢58¢ / 43¢59¢ / 42¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets07/18 3:05 PM14360¢44¢ / 32¢61¢ / 40¢62¢ / 39¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox07/18 3:07 PM14350¢38¢ / 40¢52¢ / 49¢51¢ / 50¢
Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds07/18 3:10 PM14349¢40¢ / 44¢49¢ / 52¢49¢ / 52¢
Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres07/18 4:10 PM14350¢49¢ / 43¢49¢ / 52¢50¢ / 51¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals07/18 4:10 PM14252¢54¢ / 40¢53¢ / 48¢52¢ / 49¢
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays07/18 4:10 PM14351¢40¢ / 39¢51¢ / 50¢51¢ / 49¢
Atlanta Braves vs Texas Rangers07/18 4:10 PM14551¢38¢ / 39¢51¢ / 50¢52¢ / 48¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins07/18 4:10 PM14356¢39¢ / 36¢58¢ / 43¢57¢ / 43¢
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles07/18 4:10 PM14450¢39¢ / 38¢51¢ / 50¢51¢ / 50¢
Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates07/18 7:10 PM12150¢40¢ / 38¢52¢ / 49¢51¢ / 50¢
New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers07/18 8:08 PM14151¢39¢ / 38¢52¢ / 49¢51¢ / 49¢
Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants07/18 8:08 PM14258¢37¢ / 34¢59¢ / 42¢59¢ / 42¢
Athletics vs Washington Nationals07/18 10:05 PM14349¢41¢ / 40¢49¢ / 52¢49¢ / 52¢
Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers07/18 10:07 PM14236¢27¢ / 47¢37¢ / 64¢36¢ / 65¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox07/19 12:15 PM2748¢50¢ / 51¢50¢ / 51¢– / –
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays07/19 1:35 PM2854¢53¢ / 47¢52¢ / 49¢– / –
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets07/19 1:35 PM2846¢48¢ / 52¢48¢ / 53¢– / –
Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates07/19 1:40 PM2647¢47¢ / 53¢47¢ / 54¢– / –
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles07/19 2:10 PM2452¢54¢ / 48¢52¢ / 49¢– / –
Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins07/19 2:10 PM2554¢55¢ / 46¢56¢ / 45¢– / –
Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres07/19 2:10 PM1655¢54¢ / 46¢53¢ / 48¢– / –
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.

WNBA board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Minnesota Lynx vs Portland Fire07/18 8:00 PM14485¢86¢ / 14¢87¢ / 14¢86¢ / 14¢
Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty07/18 8:00 PM14545¢45¢ / 56¢47¢ / 54¢46¢ / 55¢
Golden State Valkyries vs Washington Mystics07/18 8:30 PM14676¢78¢ / 23¢78¢ / 23¢78¢ / 24¢
Dallas Wings vs Los Angeles Sparks07/19 1:00 PM11677¢79¢ / 21¢80¢ / 21¢– / –
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.
What is Sharp Delta? Sharp Delta = the gap between a venue's ask price (Kalshi, Polymarket) and the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks. Positive Sharp Delta means the venue is selling below fair value. Fair value = median de-vigged win probability across every sportsbook in the feed (prediction venues excluded from the consensus). Ask = the implied probability you would pay at that venue right now. Not betting advice; prices move.
© SharpDelta · sharpdelta.com