SharpDelta

The prediction-market fair-value screener · Kalshi & Polymarket vs. the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks · 15 games · updated Sep 5, 10:15 AM ET

Positive Sharp Delta right now

No venue is currently selling ≥2.5pts below fair value. Markets are tight right now — that's an honest reading, not a broken screener.

MLB board

Matchup (A vs B)	Start (ET)	Books	Fair A	Kalshi A / B	Polymarket A / B	ProphetX A / B
Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs	09/05 4:10 PM	172	45¢	46¢ / 55¢	45¢ / 55¢	46¢ / 55¢
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants	09/05 4:10 PM	174	62¢	63¢ / 38¢	63¢ / 37¢	63¢ / 38¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves	09/05 6:05 PM	174	59¢	60¢ / 41¢	59¢ / 41¢	60¢ / 41¢
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers	09/05 6:10 PM	174	59¢	59¢ / 42¢	59¢ / 42¢	59¢ / 42¢
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers	09/05 6:40 PM	173	41¢	42¢ / 59¢	41¢ / 59¢	42¢ / 59¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels	09/05 6:40 PM	172	62¢	64¢ / 37¢	63¢ / 37¢	63¢ / 37¢
Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays	09/05 7:05 PM	172	50¢	50¢ / 50¢	50¢ / 51¢	50¢ / 51¢
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox	09/05 7:05 PM	175	43¢	44¢ / 57¢	43¢ / 58¢	43¢ / 57¢
Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays	09/05 7:10 PM	170	50¢	51¢ / 50¢	51¢ / 50¢	50¢ / 50¢
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins	09/05 7:10 PM	171	53¢	53¢ / 48¢	53¢ / 48¢	53¢ / 48¢
San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees	09/05 7:15 PM	173	53¢	54¢ / 47¢	54¢ / 46¢	54¢ / 46¢
Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks	09/05 7:15 PM	171	50¢	51¢ / 50¢	51¢ / 50¢	50¢ / 50¢
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals	09/05 8:10 PM	173	47¢	47¢ / 54¢	48¢ / 53¢	47¢ / 53¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals	09/05 9:10 PM	173	67¢	68¢ / 33¢	67¢ / 33¢	67¢ / 34¢
Seattle Mariners vs Athletics	09/05 9:40 PM	169	68¢	69¢ / 32¢	69¢ / 31¢	69¢ / 31¢

Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.

What is Sharp Delta? Sharp Delta = the gap between a venue's ask price (Kalshi, Polymarket) and the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks. Positive Sharp Delta means the venue is selling below fair value. Fair value = median de-vigged win probability across every sportsbook in the feed (prediction venues excluded from the consensus). Ask = the implied probability you would pay at that venue right now. Not betting advice; prices move.