SharpDelta

The prediction-market fair-value screener · Kalshi & Polymarket vs. the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks · 21 games · updated Jul 24, 7:16 PM ET

Positive Sharp Delta right now

Team	Vs	Sport	Start (ET)	Venue	Ask	Fair	Sharp Δ	Books
Minnesota Twins	Athletics	MLB	07/24 8:10 PM	Kalshi	44¢	56¢	+11.8	141
Tampa Bay Rays	Cleveland Guardians	MLB	07/25 6:10 PM	Kalshi	45¢	55¢	+10.1	58
Miami Marlins	San Diego Padres	MLB	07/25 4:10 PM	Kalshi	45¢	55¢	+10.0	69
Pittsburgh Pirates	Chicago Cubs	MLB	07/25 6:40 PM	Kalshi	45¢	55¢	+9.8	59
Chicago White Sox	Houston Astros	MLB	07/24 7:40 PM	Kalshi	46¢	55¢	+9.1	139
Washington Nationals	Arizona Diamondbacks	MLB	07/25 4:05 PM	Kalshi	46¢	55¢	+8.9	69
Boston Red Sox	Toronto Blue Jays	MLB	07/24 7:15 PM	Kalshi	46¢	54¢	+7.8	127
San Francisco Giants	Los Angeles Angels	MLB	07/25 4:05 PM	Kalshi	47¢	53¢	+6.3	68
Chicago White Sox	Houston Astros	MLB	07/25 7:10 PM	Kalshi	47¢	53¢	+5.9	56
Boston Red Sox	Toronto Blue Jays	MLB	07/25 4:10 PM	Kalshi	47¢	52¢	+5.0	69
St. Louis Cardinals	Cincinnati Reds	MLB	07/25 7:15 PM	Kalshi	48¢	52¢	+4.4	58

MLB board

Matchup (A vs B)	Start (ET)	Books	Fair A	Kalshi A / B	Polymarket A / B	ProphetX A / B
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays	07/24 7:15 PM	127	54¢	46¢ / 55¢	55¢ / 47¢	55¢ / 46¢
Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros	07/24 7:40 PM	139	55¢	46¢ / 56¢	55¢ / 46¢	55¢ / 45¢
Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners	07/24 8:05 PM	143	49¢	52¢ / 49¢	49¢ / 52¢	48¢ / 52¢
Minnesota Twins vs Athletics	07/24 8:10 PM	141	56¢	44¢ / 57¢	57¢ / 44¢	57¢ / 44¢
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds	07/24 8:15 PM	142	58¢	42¢ / 59¢	58¢ / 43¢	58¢ / 43¢
San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Angels	07/24 10:15 PM	139	59¢	41¢ / 60¢	60¢ / 41¢	59¢ / 42¢
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals	07/25 1:10 PM	68	61¢	39¢ / 62¢	63¢ / 38¢	– / –
Washington Nationals vs Arizona Diamondbacks	07/25 4:05 PM	69	55¢	46¢ / 56¢	55¢ / 46¢	– / –
San Francisco Giants vs Los Angeles Angels	07/25 4:05 PM	68	53¢	47¢ / 54¢	54¢ / 47¢	– / –
Miami Marlins vs San Diego Padres	07/25 4:10 PM	69	55¢	45¢ / 55¢	56¢ / 45¢	– / –
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays	07/25 4:10 PM	69	52¢	47¢ / 53¢	53¢ / 48¢	– / –
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees	07/25 6:05 PM	51	48¢	52¢ / 50¢	50¢ / 51¢	– / –
Tampa Bay Rays vs Cleveland Guardians	07/25 6:10 PM	58	55¢	45¢ / 56¢	56¢ / 45¢	– / –
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs	07/25 6:40 PM	59	55¢	45¢ / 55¢	55¢ / 46¢	– / –
Baltimore Orioles vs Atlanta Braves	07/25 7:05 PM	59	50¢	51¢ / 50¢	51¢ / 50¢	– / –
Minnesota Twins vs Athletics	07/25 7:10 PM	55	60¢	42¢ / 60¢	60¢ / 41¢	– / –
Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros	07/25 7:10 PM	56	53¢	47¢ / 54¢	54¢ / 47¢	– / –
Milwaukee Brewers vs Colorado Rockies	07/25 7:10 PM	59	64¢	33¢ / 67¢	67¢ / 34¢	– / –
Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners	07/25 7:15 PM	57	49¢	50¢ / 50¢	50¢ / 51¢	– / –
New York Mets vs Los Angeles Dodgers	07/25 7:15 PM	57	42¢	59¢ / 42¢	43¢ / 59¢	– / –
St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati Reds	07/25 7:15 PM	58	52¢	48¢ / 53¢	53¢ / 48¢	– / –

Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.

What is Sharp Delta? Sharp Delta = the gap between a venue's ask price (Kalshi, Polymarket) and the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks. Positive Sharp Delta means the venue is selling below fair value. Fair value = median de-vigged win probability across every sportsbook in the feed (prediction venues excluded from the consensus). Ask = the implied probability you would pay at that venue right now. Not betting advice; prices move.