SharpDelta

The prediction-market fair-value screener · Kalshi & Polymarket vs. the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks · 19 games · updated Jul 18, 4:16 AM ET

Positive Sharp Delta right now

TeamVsSportStart (ET)VenueAskFairSharp ΔBooks
Detroit TigersLos Angeles AngelsMLB07/18 10:07 PMKalshi48¢63¢+14.6136
Chicago CubsMinnesota TwinsMLB07/18 2:20 PMKalshi42¢56¢+14.4138
Philadelphia PhilliesNew York MetsMLB07/18 4:05 PMKalshi46¢60¢+14.3137
Atlanta BravesTexas RangersMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi38¢51¢+13.2139
Boston Red SoxTampa Bay RaysMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi40¢52¢+12.1138
Los Angeles DodgersNew York YankeesMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi39¢51¢+12.1138
San Francisco GiantsSeattle MarinersMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi33¢45¢+12.0137
Baltimore OriolesHouston AstrosMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi38¢50¢+11.8138
Houston AstrosBaltimore OriolesMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi39¢50¢+11.2138
Toronto Blue JaysChicago White SoxMLB07/18 3:07 PMKalshi38¢49¢+11.0139
Los Angeles AngelsDetroit TigersMLB07/18 10:07 PMKalshi27¢37¢+10.3136
Chicago White SoxToronto Blue JaysMLB07/18 3:07 PMKalshi41¢51¢+10.1139
Texas RangersAtlanta BravesMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi39¢49¢+9.8139
AthleticsWashington NationalsMLB07/18 10:05 PMKalshi44¢53¢+9.5138
Miami MarlinsMilwaukee BrewersMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi36¢45¢+9.2138
New York YankeesLos Angeles DodgersMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi40¢49¢+8.9138
San Diego PadresKansas City RoyalsMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi43¢51¢+8.2137
Tampa Bay RaysBoston Red SoxMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi40¢48¢+7.9138
Washington NationalsAthleticsMLB07/18 10:05 PMKalshi39¢47¢+7.5138
St. Louis CardinalsArizona DiamondbacksMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi41¢48¢+6.8138
New York MetsPhiladelphia PhilliesMLB07/18 4:05 PMKalshi33¢40¢+6.7137
Minnesota TwinsChicago CubsMLB07/18 2:20 PMKalshi37¢44¢+6.6138
Colorado RockiesCincinnati RedsMLB07/18 3:10 PMKalshi43¢49¢+6.1136
Cincinnati RedsColorado RockiesMLB07/18 3:10 PMKalshi47¢51¢+3.9136
Pittsburgh PiratesCleveland GuardiansMLB07/18 7:10 PMPolymarket48¢51¢+2.8110

MLB board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates07/18 1:10 PM12253¢75¢ / 75¢– / –55¢ / 47¢
Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins07/18 2:20 PM13856¢42¢ / 37¢57¢ / 44¢57¢ / 43¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox07/18 3:07 PM13949¢38¢ / 41¢49¢ / 52¢50¢ / 52¢
Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds07/18 3:10 PM13649¢43¢ / 47¢50¢ / 51¢50¢ / 51¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets07/18 4:05 PM13760¢46¢ / 33¢62¢ / 39¢61¢ / 40¢
Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres07/18 4:10 PM13749¢49¢ / 43¢49¢ / 52¢49¢ / 52¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals07/18 4:10 PM13852¢54¢ / 41¢53¢ / 48¢53¢ / 48¢
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays07/18 4:10 PM13852¢40¢ / 40¢53¢ / 48¢52¢ / 49¢
Atlanta Braves vs Texas Rangers07/18 4:10 PM13951¢38¢ / 39¢53¢ / 48¢52¢ / 49¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins07/18 4:10 PM13855¢39¢ / 36¢55¢ / 46¢56¢ / 44¢
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles07/18 4:10 PM13850¢39¢ / 38¢50¢ / 51¢50¢ / 51¢
Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates07/18 7:10 PM11049¢70¢ / 70¢53¢ / 48¢– / –
New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers07/18 8:08 PM13849¢40¢ / 39¢49¢ / 52¢50¢ / 52¢
Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants07/18 8:08 PM13755¢39¢ / 33¢56¢ / 45¢56¢ / 44¢
Athletics vs Washington Nationals07/18 10:05 PM13853¢44¢ / 39¢54¢ / 47¢53¢ / 49¢
Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers07/18 10:07 PM13637¢27¢ / 48¢37¢ / 64¢37¢ / 64¢
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.

WNBA board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Minnesota Lynx vs Portland Fire07/18 8:00 PM14085¢87¢ / 15¢87¢ / 14¢87¢ / 14¢
Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty07/18 8:00 PM14146¢45¢ / 56¢46¢ / 55¢45¢ / 58¢
Golden State Valkyries vs Washington Mystics07/18 8:30 PM14077¢78¢ / 23¢78¢ / 23¢79¢ / 22¢
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.
What is Sharp Delta? Sharp Delta = the gap between a venue's ask price (Kalshi, Polymarket) and the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks. Positive Sharp Delta means the venue is selling below fair value. Fair value = median de-vigged win probability across every sportsbook in the feed (prediction venues excluded from the consensus). Ask = the implied probability you would pay at that venue right now. Not betting advice; prices move.
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