SharpDelta

The prediction-market fair-value screener · Kalshi & Polymarket vs. the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks · 19 games · updated Jul 18, 12:16 PM ET

Positive Sharp Delta right now

TeamVsSportStart (ET)VenueAskFairSharp ΔBooks
Philadelphia PhilliesNew York MetsMLB07/18 3:05 PMKalshi46¢61¢+14.7139
Chicago CubsMinnesota TwinsMLB07/18 2:20 PMKalshi42¢56¢+14.4142
Atlanta BravesTexas RangersMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi38¢51¢+13.2142
Toronto Blue JaysChicago White SoxMLB07/18 3:07 PMKalshi38¢50¢+12.4140
Baltimore OriolesHouston AstrosMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi38¢50¢+11.9142
Los Angeles DodgersNew York YankeesMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi38¢49¢+11.3138
Houston AstrosBaltimore OriolesMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi39¢50¢+11.1142
Washington NationalsAthleticsMLB07/18 10:05 PMKalshi40¢51¢+10.9140
Tampa Bay RaysBoston Red SoxMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi39¢50¢+10.9140
New York YankeesLos Angeles DodgersMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi40¢51¢+10.7138
Boston Red SoxTampa Bay RaysMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi40¢50¢+10.1140
Cleveland GuardiansPittsburgh PiratesMLB07/18 7:10 PMKalshi40¢50¢+10.0115
Pittsburgh PiratesCleveland GuardiansMLB07/18 7:10 PMKalshi40¢50¢+10.0115
Cleveland GuardiansPittsburgh PiratesMLB07/18 1:10 PMKalshi44¢54¢+9.9134
Chicago White SoxToronto Blue JaysMLB07/18 3:07 PMKalshi40¢50¢+9.6140
San Francisco GiantsSeattle MarinersMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi33¢43¢+9.6139
Los Angeles AngelsDetroit TigersMLB07/18 10:07 PMKalshi27¢36¢+9.4138
St. Louis CardinalsArizona DiamondbacksMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi39¢48¢+8.8141
Miami MarlinsMilwaukee BrewersMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi35¢43¢+8.3140
AthleticsWashington NationalsMLB07/18 10:05 PMKalshi41¢49¢+8.1140
Texas RangersAtlanta BravesMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi41¢49¢+7.8142
San Diego PadresKansas City RoyalsMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi43¢51¢+7.7141
Cincinnati RedsColorado RockiesMLB07/18 3:10 PMKalshi43¢51¢+7.7141
Colorado RockiesCincinnati RedsMLB07/18 3:10 PMKalshi42¢49¢+7.3141
New York MetsPhiladelphia PhilliesMLB07/18 3:05 PMKalshi32¢39¢+7.3139
Minnesota TwinsChicago CubsMLB07/18 2:20 PMKalshi37¢44¢+6.6142
Pittsburgh PiratesCleveland GuardiansMLB07/18 1:10 PMKalshi40¢46¢+6.1134

MLB board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates07/18 1:10 PM13454¢44¢ / 40¢– / –55¢ / 46¢
Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins07/18 2:20 PM14256¢42¢ / 37¢57¢ / 44¢57¢ / 43¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets07/18 3:05 PM13961¢46¢ / 32¢62¢ / 39¢62¢ / 39¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox07/18 3:07 PM14050¢38¢ / 40¢51¢ / 50¢51¢ / 50¢
Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds07/18 3:10 PM14149¢42¢ / 43¢50¢ / 51¢50¢ / 51¢
Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres07/18 4:10 PM14149¢49¢ / 43¢50¢ / 51¢50¢ / 51¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals07/18 4:10 PM14152¢54¢ / 39¢53¢ / 48¢52¢ / 48¢
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays07/18 4:10 PM14050¢40¢ / 39¢50¢ / 51¢50¢ / 51¢
Atlanta Braves vs Texas Rangers07/18 4:10 PM14251¢38¢ / 41¢52¢ / 49¢52¢ / 49¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins07/18 4:10 PM14057¢40¢ / 35¢58¢ / 43¢57¢ / 43¢
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles07/18 4:10 PM14250¢39¢ / 38¢51¢ / 50¢50¢ / 50¢
Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates07/18 7:10 PM11550¢40¢ / 40¢52¢ / 49¢51¢ / 50¢
New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers07/18 8:08 PM13851¢40¢ / 38¢52¢ / 49¢51¢ / 50¢
Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants07/18 8:08 PM13957¢39¢ / 33¢59¢ / 42¢59¢ / 42¢
Athletics vs Washington Nationals07/18 10:05 PM14049¢41¢ / 40¢48¢ / 53¢49¢ / 51¢
Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers07/18 10:07 PM13836¢27¢ / 48¢37¢ / 64¢36¢ / 65¢
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.

WNBA board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Minnesota Lynx vs Portland Fire07/18 8:00 PM14285¢86¢ / 14¢87¢ / 14¢86¢ / 14¢
Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty07/18 8:00 PM14345¢45¢ / 56¢44¢ / 57¢44¢ / 56¢
Golden State Valkyries vs Washington Mystics07/18 8:30 PM14477¢78¢ / 23¢78¢ / 23¢78¢ / 24¢
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.
What is Sharp Delta? Sharp Delta = the gap between a venue's ask price (Kalshi, Polymarket) and the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks. Positive Sharp Delta means the venue is selling below fair value. Fair value = median de-vigged win probability across every sportsbook in the feed (prediction venues excluded from the consensus). Ask = the implied probability you would pay at that venue right now. Not betting advice; prices move.
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