SharpDelta

The prediction-market fair-value screener · Kalshi & Polymarket vs. the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks · 19 games · updated Jul 18, 12:15 AM ET

Positive Sharp Delta right now

TeamVsSportStart (ET)VenueAskFairSharp ΔBooks
Seattle MarinersSan Francisco GiantsMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi40¢55¢+14.9113
Chicago CubsMinnesota TwinsMLB07/18 2:20 PMKalshi42¢56¢+14.5123
Milwaukee BrewersMiami MarlinsMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi41¢55¢+13.8122
Philadelphia PhilliesNew York MetsMLB07/18 4:05 PMKalshi46¢59¢+13.4121
Atlanta BravesTexas RangersMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi38¢51¢+13.1121
Detroit TigersLos Angeles AngelsMLB07/18 10:07 PMKalshi50¢63¢+12.9111
Los Angeles DodgersNew York YankeesMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi39¢51¢+12.0115
Toronto Blue JaysChicago White SoxMLB07/18 3:07 PMKalshi37¢49¢+11.988
AthleticsWashington NationalsMLB07/18 10:05 PMKalshi43¢54¢+11.2112
San Francisco GiantsSeattle MarinersMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi34¢45¢+11.1113
Baltimore OriolesHouston AstrosMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi39¢50¢+10.9121
Boston Red SoxTampa Bay RaysMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi42¢52¢+10.1120
Houston AstrosBaltimore OriolesMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi40¢50¢+10.1121
Chicago White SoxToronto Blue JaysMLB07/18 3:07 PMKalshi41¢51¢+10.188
New York YankeesLos Angeles DodgersMLB07/18 8:08 PMKalshi39¢49¢+10.0115
Los Angeles AngelsDetroit TigersMLB07/18 10:07 PMKalshi28¢37¢+9.1111
Minnesota TwinsChicago CubsMLB07/18 2:20 PMKalshi35¢44¢+8.5123
Miami MarlinsMilwaukee BrewersMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi37¢45¢+8.2122
Texas RangersAtlanta BravesMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi41¢49¢+7.9121
Tampa Bay RaysBoston Red SoxMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi40¢48¢+7.9120
New York MetsPhiladelphia PhilliesMLB07/18 4:05 PMKalshi34¢41¢+6.6121
Washington NationalsAthleticsMLB07/18 10:05 PMKalshi40¢46¢+5.8112
St. Louis CardinalsArizona DiamondbacksMLB07/18 4:10 PMKalshi42¢48¢+5.8120

MLB board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates07/18 1:10 PM9854¢56¢ / 45¢– / –55¢ / 52¢
Chicago Cubs vs Minnesota Twins07/18 2:20 PM12356¢42¢ / 35¢57¢ / 44¢57¢ / 44¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox07/18 3:07 PM8849¢37¢ / 41¢50¢ / 51¢49¢ / 52¢
Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds07/18 3:10 PM8749¢49¢ / 53¢47¢ / 54¢51¢ / 53¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets07/18 4:05 PM12159¢46¢ / 34¢60¢ / 41¢61¢ / 40¢
Kansas City Royals vs San Diego Padres07/18 4:10 PM6349¢49¢ / 52¢48¢ / 53¢51¢ / 53¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs St. Louis Cardinals07/18 4:10 PM12052¢54¢ / 42¢53¢ / 48¢53¢ / 49¢
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays07/18 4:10 PM12052¢42¢ / 40¢53¢ / 48¢53¢ / 48¢
Atlanta Braves vs Texas Rangers07/18 4:10 PM12151¢38¢ / 41¢53¢ / 48¢52¢ / 49¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs Miami Marlins07/18 4:10 PM12255¢41¢ / 37¢56¢ / 45¢56¢ / 45¢
Houston Astros vs Baltimore Orioles07/18 4:10 PM12150¢40¢ / 39¢50¢ / 51¢50¢ / 51¢
Cleveland Guardians vs Pittsburgh Pirates07/18 7:10 PM6349¢73¢ / 72¢51¢ / 50¢50¢ / 53¢
New York Yankees vs Los Angeles Dodgers07/18 8:08 PM11549¢39¢ / 39¢50¢ / 51¢50¢ / 52¢
Seattle Mariners vs San Francisco Giants07/18 8:08 PM11355¢40¢ / 34¢56¢ / 45¢56¢ / 46¢
Athletics vs Washington Nationals07/18 10:05 PM11254¢43¢ / 40¢54¢ / 47¢54¢ / 46¢
Los Angeles Angels vs Detroit Tigers07/18 10:07 PM11137¢28¢ / 50¢37¢ / 64¢38¢ / 64¢
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.

WNBA board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Minnesota Lynx vs Portland Fire07/18 8:00 PM13685¢86¢ / 15¢86¢ / 15¢87¢ / 16¢
Indiana Fever vs New York Liberty07/18 8:00 PM13746¢46¢ / 54¢46¢ / 55¢45¢ / 56¢
Golden State Valkyries vs Washington Mystics07/18 8:30 PM13777¢78¢ / 22¢78¢ / 23¢80¢ / 22¢
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.
What is Sharp Delta? Sharp Delta = the gap between a venue's ask price (Kalshi, Polymarket) and the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks. Positive Sharp Delta means the venue is selling below fair value. Fair value = median de-vigged win probability across every sportsbook in the feed (prediction venues excluded from the consensus). Ask = the implied probability you would pay at that venue right now. Not betting advice; prices move.
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