SharpDelta

The prediction-market fair-value screener · Kalshi & Polymarket vs. the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks · 19 games · updated Jul 20, 6:16 AM ET

Positive Sharp Delta right now

TeamVsSportStart (ET)VenueAskFairSharp ΔBooks
Atlanta BravesSan Diego PadresMLB07/20 7:15 PMKalshi43¢57¢+14.1136
Boston Red SoxBaltimore OriolesMLB07/20 7:10 PMKalshi43¢56¢+13.4134
Philadelphia PhilliesLos Angeles DodgersMLB07/20 7:10 PMKalshi45¢55¢+10.2134
Houston AstrosMiami MarlinsMLB07/20 8:10 PMKalshi46¢55¢+8.5135
Washington NationalsColorado RockiesMLB07/20 8:40 PMKalshi47¢53¢+5.6136
Minnesota TwinsCleveland GuardiansMLB07/20 6:40 PMKalshi48¢52¢+4.5135
Seattle StormMinnesota LynxWNBA07/20 10:00 PMFliff17¢20¢+3.2142
New York YankeesPittsburgh PiratesMLB07/20 7:05 PMKalshi49¢52¢+3.2136
Los Angeles AngelsSt. Louis CardinalsMLB07/20 10:10 PMKalshi49¢52¢+3.2136
Toronto TempoLas Vegas AcesWNBA07/20 8:00 PMProphetX17¢19¢+2.7139
Kansas City RoyalsSan Francisco GiantsMLB07/20 7:40 PMKalshi49¢52¢+2.6136

MLB board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Cleveland Guardians vs Minnesota Twins07/20 6:40 PM13548¢53¢ / 48¢48¢ / 53¢48¢ / 53¢
New York Yankees vs Pittsburgh Pirates07/20 7:05 PM13652¢49¢ / 53¢53¢ / 48¢53¢ / 49¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays07/20 7:07 PM13858¢42¢ / 59¢60¢ / 41¢59¢ / 42¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs Los Angeles Dodgers07/20 7:10 PM13455¢45¢ / 57¢57¢ / 44¢56¢ / 44¢
Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles07/20 7:10 PM13456¢43¢ / 58¢58¢ / 43¢58¢ / 43¢
Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres07/20 7:15 PM13657¢43¢ / 58¢57¢ / 44¢57¢ / 43¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs New York Mets07/20 7:40 PM13765¢36¢ / 66¢66¢ / 35¢66¢ / 34¢
Kansas City Royals vs San Francisco Giants07/20 7:40 PM13652¢49¢ / 52¢53¢ / 48¢52¢ / 48¢
Chicago Cubs vs Detroit Tigers07/20 8:05 PM13751¢49¢ / 52¢52¢ / 49¢52¢ / 49¢
Texas Rangers vs Chicago White Sox07/20 8:05 PM13761¢39¢ / 61¢62¢ / 39¢62¢ / 39¢
Houston Astros vs Miami Marlins07/20 8:10 PM13555¢46¢ / 55¢54¢ / 47¢54¢ / 46¢
Colorado Rockies vs Washington Nationals07/20 8:40 PM13647¢54¢ / 47¢47¢ / 54¢47¢ / 54¢
Seattle Mariners vs Cincinnati Reds07/20 9:40 PM13558¢42¢ / 59¢59¢ / 42¢59¢ / 42¢
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Athletics07/20 9:40 PM13859¢58¢ / 46¢60¢ / 41¢61¢ / 41¢
Los Angeles Angels vs St. Louis Cardinals07/20 10:10 PM13652¢49¢ / 52¢53¢ / 48¢52¢ / 48¢
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.

WNBA board

Matchup (A vs B)Start (ET)BooksFair AKalshi A / BPolymarket A / BProphetX A / B
Toronto Tempo vs Las Vegas Aces07/20 8:00 PM13919¢83¢ / 18¢18¢ / 83¢17¢ / 84¢
Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty07/20 8:00 PM13540¢61¢ / 40¢40¢ / 61¢40¢ / 61¢
Seattle Storm vs Minnesota Lynx07/20 10:00 PM14220¢83¢ / 18¢19¢ / 82¢18¢ / 83¢
Golden State Valkyries vs Washington Mystics07/20 10:00 PM14475¢26¢ / 75¢75¢ / 26¢76¢ / 25¢
Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.
What is Sharp Delta? Sharp Delta = the gap between a venue's ask price (Kalshi, Polymarket) and the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks. Positive Sharp Delta means the venue is selling below fair value. Fair value = median de-vigged win probability across every sportsbook in the feed (prediction venues excluded from the consensus). Ask = the implied probability you would pay at that venue right now. Not betting advice; prices move.
© SharpDelta · sharpdelta.com