SharpDelta

The prediction-market fair-value screener · Kalshi & Polymarket vs. the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks · 15 games · updated Sep 5, 10:15 PM ET

Positive Sharp Delta right now

No venue is currently selling ≥2.5pts below fair value. Markets are tight right now — that's an honest reading, not a broken screener.

MLB board

Matchup (A vs B)	Start (ET)	Books	Fair A	Kalshi A / B	Polymarket A / B	ProphetX A / B
Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers	09/06 12:10 PM	153	41¢	41¢ / 59¢	41¢ / 59¢	41¢ / 60¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves	09/06 1:10 PM	154	50¢	50¢ / 51¢	51¢ / 50¢	51¢ / 50¢
Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox	09/06 1:35 PM	148	45¢	45¢ / 56¢	45¢ / 55¢	45¢ / 56¢
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles Angels	09/06 1:35 PM	155	64¢	64¢ / 36¢	63¢ / 37¢	64¢ / 37¢
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers	09/06 1:40 PM	147	60¢	60¢ / 41¢	59¢ / 41¢	60¢ / 40¢
New York Mets vs San Francisco Giants	09/06 1:40 PM	144	58¢	58¢ / 43¢	58¢ / 43¢	58¢ / 43¢
Miami Marlins vs Chicago Cubs	09/06 1:40 PM	153	43¢	44¢ / 58¢	43¢ / 57¢	43¢ / 58¢
Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays	09/06 2:10 PM	146	48¢	49¢ / 52¢	49¢ / 51¢	48¢ / 53¢
Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks	09/06 2:10 PM	144	50¢	51¢ / 50¢	51¢ / 50¢	51¢ / 50¢
Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay Rays	09/06 2:35 PM	145	51¢	50¢ / 51¢	50¢ / 51¢	51¢ / 50¢
Colorado Rockies vs St. Louis Cardinals	09/06 3:10 PM	146	46¢	46¢ / 55¢	46¢ / 54¢	46¢ / 55¢
San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees	09/06 4:10 PM	153	50¢	50¢ / 51¢	50¢ / 51¢	50¢ / 51¢
Seattle Mariners vs Athletics	09/06 4:10 PM	152	64¢	64¢ / 36¢	65¢ / 35¢	– / –
Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota Twins	09/06 6:20 PM	107	57¢	58¢ / 42¢	57¢ / 43¢	58¢ / 42¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Washington Nationals	09/06 10:10 PM	138	66¢	67¢ / 34¢	66¢ / 34¢	– / –

Prices are what each side costs right now, in cents per $1 contract, in matchup order (A / B). A venue's two sides usually sum above 100¢ — that's its spread, the equivalent of vig. A positive Sharp Delta is a side selling below fair value despite the spread.

What is Sharp Delta? Sharp Delta = the gap between a venue's ask price (Kalshi, Polymarket) and the de-vigged consensus of 100+ sportsbooks. Positive Sharp Delta means the venue is selling below fair value. Fair value = median de-vigged win probability across every sportsbook in the feed (prediction venues excluded from the consensus). Ask = the implied probability you would pay at that venue right now. Not betting advice; prices move.